TLT vs XLI — 21-Year Performance Comparison
Long-Term Treasuries vs Industrials — backtested 2004–2024
XLI wins$75,141 vs $20,150 on $10,000 over 21 years
TLTLong-Term Treasuries
Final value$20,150
CAGR+3.4%
Max drawdown-38.0%
Best year+34% (2011)
Years won6 of 21
XLIIndustrials
Final value$75,141
CAGR+10.1%
Max drawdown-39.9%
Best year+41% (2013)
Years won15 of 21
Growth of $10,000
2004–2024TLTXLI
TLT$20,150
XLI$75,141
50/50 mix$47,114
50/50 blend: $47,114 (+7.7%/yr CAGR)
Splitting equally between TLT and XLI would have landed between the two — slightly lower CAGR than XLI but less volatility. Try a custom split →
Year-by-year: TLT vs XLI
| Year | TLT | XLI | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | -8.1% | +17.5% | XLI |
| 2023 | +2.8% | +18.0% | XLI |
| 2022 | -31.2% | -5.9% | XLI |
| 2021 | -4.6% | +21.1% | XLI |
| 2020 | +18.1% | +11.5% | TLT |
| 2019 | +14.1% | +29.4% | XLI |
| 2018 | -1.6% | -14.7% | TLT |
| 2017 | +9.2% | +21.0% | XLI |
| 2016 | +1.2% | +18.9% | XLI |
| 2015 | -1.8% | -2.5% | TLT |
| 2014 | +27.3% | +9.9% | TLT |
| 2013 | -13.4% | +40.7% | XLI |
| 2012 | +2.6% | +15.3% | XLI |
| 2011 | +34.0% | -0.6% | TLT |
| 2010 | +9.1% | +26.8% | XLI |
| 2009 | -21.8% | +20.9% | XLI |
| 2008 | +33.9% | -39.9% | TLT |
| 2007 | +10.3% | +12.2% | XLI |
| 2006 | +0.7% | +14.3% | XLI |
| 2005 | +8.8% | +10.0% | XLI |
| 2004 | +7.9% | +19.6% | XLI |
More comparisons
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